this post was submitted on 19 Nov 2024
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Summary

Trump’s popular vote share has fallen below 50% to 49.94%, with Kamala Harris at 48.26%, narrowing his margin of victory.

Trump’s share of the popular vote is lower than Biden’s in 2020 (51.3%), Obama’s in 2012 (51.1%) and 2008 (52.9%), George W. Bush’s in 2004 (50.7%), George H.W. Bush’s in 1988 (53.2%), Reagan’s in 1984 (58.8%) and 1980 (50.7%), and Carter’s in 1976 (50.1%).

The 2024 election results highlight Trump’s narrow victory and the need for Democrats to address their mistakes and build a diverse working-class coalition.

The numbers also give Democrats a reason to push back on Trump’s mandate claims, noting most Americans did not vote for him.

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[–] mercano@lemmy.world 156 points 1 month ago (5 children)

The fact that a majority of voters did not want Trump to win makes me simultaneously feel happy (that I’m not surrounded by idiots) and more depressed (that the Electoral College has screwed us AGAIN!)

[–] empireOfLove2@lemmy.dbzer0.com 195 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

It's a lack of majority not a lack of plurality. Harris is still trailing Trump by 3m votes or so (and 1.6%), Trump is just not above 50% after further votes have been counted. So this isn't an electoral college steal

[–] givesomefucks@lemmy.world 53 points 1 month ago (5 children)

Yeah, but even if Kamala wins the popular vote, this is going to be the closest a republican has gotten in..

Decades?

Maybe longer?

But the DNC is going to latch onto this and try to claim if they had moved just a little more right they'd have won.

Regardless of what happens, the DNC will always say the answer is moving to the right.

[–] gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.works 31 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

The DNC brain trust is already claiming that they should go further to the right

[–] HawlSera@lemm.ee 17 points 1 month ago (5 children)

They were told they abandoned workers, and somehow heard "What if we betray Transpeople?"

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[–] Semi_Hemi_Demigod@lemmy.world 39 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Don't worry, you're still surrounded by idiots no matter who wins the presidency

[–] arandomthought@sh.itjust.works 15 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Yeah does it really make that much of a difference in terms of "being surrounded by idiots" whether 51% of the people around you are idiots or 49%? Sure, I'd prefer the 49% scenario, especially if there's an election happening, but you're still surrounded by idiots.

[–] Semi_Hemi_Demigod@lemmy.world 20 points 1 month ago

The fact that Trump could get elected at all, let alone twice, is proof that there's too many idiots to want to participate in normal society

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[–] testfactor@lemmy.world 25 points 1 month ago (1 children)

He still had more of the popular vote than Harris, it was just they were both less than 50% due to 3rd party votes. So neither had a "majority" of the vote.

So he still would have won, even under a purely popular vote based system.

[–] pennomi@lemmy.world 10 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Another thing it means is that if we had ranked choice voting, those 3rd party votes would be the deciding factor in who won the presidency.

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[–] testfactor@lemmy.world 117 points 1 month ago (1 children)

To be clear, because the headline I think is a bit misrepresentative. Trump still has over a million more votes than Harris. He just no longer has over 50% of the votes cast.

It's like 49% Trump, 48% Harris, 3% Other. So Trump still won the popular vote.

This isn't a "the Electoral College screwed us" situation. He still "won" the popular vote. He just didn't win a "majority" of the votes cast.

[–] Wrench@lemmy.world 21 points 1 month ago

Yep. And as much as I'd like to blame 3rd party voters, even if they all voted Harris to giver her the majority, she'd have still lost due to electoral college.

I will absolutely blame the non-voters though. And the 3rd party voters still get part of the blame.

[–] AidsKitty@lemmy.world 68 points 1 month ago (4 children)

This is a ridiculous argument. Orange man won the electoral college, got the most votes, won the senate, house of reps, the presidency, and the supreme court. What more is there to lose?

[–] TankovayaDiviziya@lemmy.world 38 points 1 month ago (18 children)

Plenty of coping from the liberal corporate media, instead of admitting that liberals abandoned the working class to court the monied interests.

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[–] Rentlar@lemmy.ca 67 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (10 children)

58% of the deciding power with just under 50% of the vote?

This might be a catalyst for states to sign the NPVIC. Pennsylvania started the process to sign on this week in legislature.

Perhaps in the past, swing states enjoyed the attention they got.

Now, I have a feeling voters are frustrated from getting way too much attention with mailers, calls, texts, illegal lotteries, news stories, events. As a bonus, voters in swing states are and will be getting outsized blame for electing the returning rapist-in-chief. Anyways a potential silver lining in the impending sea of shit.

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[–] TommySoda@lemmy.world 49 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Wasn't it something like he only gained about 500,000 votes from the last primary election? The reason the Democrats lost was because they lost 10,000,000 due to people just straight up not voting for Kamala by either going 3rd party, switching to Trump, or abstaining. In my opinion it wasn't really Trump's popularity that won him the election but more of just the Democrats lack of popularity.

[–] empireOfLove2@lemmy.dbzer0.com 35 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Democrats lack of popularity, coupled with active voter suppression tactics in numerous states, four straight years of misinformation campaigns designed to decrease voter turnout and/or drive them to third parties maliciously, and most critically, no more covid lockdowns allowing people the free time to vote. People working full time wage jobs that are most likely to vote more blue are, quite intentionally, not financially allowed to vote in person due to work scheduling; 2020 was an outlier year.

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[–] WrenFeathers@lemmy.world 48 points 1 month ago (2 children)

I mean…. Does it really matter?

[–] TempermentalAnomaly@lemmy.world 27 points 1 month ago (3 children)

Nope.

Some liberals will say that he won't be able to claim a mandate. Doesn't matter. He will.

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[–] prole@lemmy.blahaj.zone 38 points 1 month ago (1 children)

It won't matter. He, and his cultists, will continue to claim otherwise.

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[–] BruceTwarzen@lemm.ee 36 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Actually only 50% of us support the fat pedophile fascist.

[–] lemmingthelemmers@lemmy.world 17 points 1 month ago (9 children)

It's way less than that. Like 35% of eligible voters did not vote.

[–] CileTheSane@lemmy.ca 19 points 1 month ago

Only 33% of eligible voters actually voted against Trump. 66% either agree with him or don't care.

[–] NotBillMurray@lemmy.world 11 points 1 month ago (9 children)

Yup, just 71 million or so goddam people voted for a narcissistic grifter felony with daddy issues. Fuck.

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[–] damnedfurry@lemmy.world 36 points 1 month ago (2 children)

This is major league copium. The fact is that Trump's opponent got way more votes in 2020 than in 2024, and had the blue turnout in 2024 equaled what it was in 2020, he would not have won in 2024. Period.

[–] Bosht@lemmy.world 11 points 1 month ago

Yeah I'm really not sure why these conversations are still going on. It's painfully clear that Dems lost this election because of voter turnout.

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[–] cultsuperstar@lemmy.world 34 points 1 month ago (6 children)

It sucks that the Dems don't bother with a recount, even if it's still the same result. Republicans wanted recounts just about everywhere they could in 2020. Instead they just say "welp, looks like we lost. Here's the keys to the kingdom." Do some due diligence and have a damn recount.

[–] HawlSera@lemm.ee 26 points 1 month ago (3 children)

The problem is Republicans are heartless, but Democrats are spineless.

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[–] nucleative@lemmy.world 12 points 1 month ago

Those kind of things have to be done in every single district and costs millions of dollars. Unless there's a probable chance, it's probably better to save the cash and use it for something that could get results in the future

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[–] JackbyDev@programming.dev 33 points 1 month ago (22 children)

He still won the popular vote.

[–] SquatDingloid@lemmy.world 24 points 1 month ago (1 children)

By being less less poplar than he was last election, because the Dems were even less poplar

[–] smeenz@lemmy.nz 11 points 1 month ago (4 children)

What do poplar trees have to do with this ?

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[–] 7112@lemmy.world 33 points 1 month ago (3 children)

The big problem is we all think someone else will solve this issue. All the investigations, congress, and even the public... they did nothing.

Run for office. Start small. Kick them out of the school boards follow their playbook and work bottom up.

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[–] BigBenis@lemmy.world 24 points 1 month ago

Great! We can relish the fact that he didn't win over the majority of Americans as our country descends into a fascist hellhole run by billionaires, war hawks and rapists.

[–] Sam_Bass@lemmy.world 21 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)

At no time in the history of modern politics has the "popular vote" taken precedence over the electoral college. If you'll remember, biden's campaign made that point during his defeat of the orange 4 years ago. And the orange complained pretty loudly about it

[–] LifeInMultipleChoice@lemmy.world 11 points 1 month ago

Not to mention the numbers I saw still show he has more votes than her, he just fell below 50%, add in the people who voted for other candidates or voted for other positions and not president and she is below. I saw only 4% of votes left in California, meaning he will beat her by at least a million votes.

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[–] Solitaire20X6@sh.itjust.works 21 points 1 month ago (11 children)

now take into account the massive GOP voter fraud

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[–] WatDabney@sopuli.xyz 20 points 1 month ago (3 children)

Since when has reality made any difference at all to Trump?

He doesn't believe he has a mandate because the numbers add up that way, so he's not going to believe he doesn't because they don't. He believes he has a mandate because he's the bestest and smartest and most perfect president ever in the history of ever. And he's never going to stop believing that.

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[–] PhAzE@lemmy.ca 19 points 1 month ago

You all need to get your "Fuck Trump" flags made and start driving around with them for the next 4 years.

[–] Angrywaffle2@lemmy.world 17 points 1 month ago (4 children)

That's still a win in the popular vote. He has a mandate.

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