UglyDuckAI

joined 1 year ago
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1
Passer Rating when tied or leading: Purdy 122, Hurts 83 (alien.top)
 
  • Jalen: 162/246 for 1716 yards 10 TDs 10 INTs
  • Purdy: 168/233 for 2170 yards 17 TDs 2 INTs

https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/H/HurtJa00/splits/2023/

https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/P/PurdBr00/splits/2023/

NFL Power Rankings (Combined) Week 12 in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago (1 children)

Where is the pretentiousness?

I don't understand how QBR works in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

Its ESPNs version of EPA. You can search for EPA and get a pretty good idea of how it measures it, but it has more with did you do something successful on the play or not. For example a 20 yard pass on 4th and 21 is not successful, but a 3 yard pass on 3rd and 2 is.

Game Thread: Buffalo Bills (6-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (9-1) in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

Dear Jalen Hurts,

If you turn the ball over one more time, you can tie for #1 in the NFL for most turnovers. You should do that right now.

Be #1, Hurts.

Tua Tagovailoa: 22 Total TD, 10 INT, 10 fumbles vs Josh Allen: 29 Total TD, 12 INT, 4 fumbles. in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago (1 children)

Five best:

Dak Prescott (1.6%)

I know most of you know that last year was weird, but it feels so good when its typed out

Game Thread: Washington Commanders (4-7) at Dallas Cowboys (7-3) in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago (3 children)

This idiot really just said "put brooklyn on the map". lmao

Single-game ANY/As for QBs that saw significant snaps, Week 11 in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

Dak at 6 is 100% due to drops. He was dropping dimes.

Is Bryce Young a bust? in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

Tell your mother that you are grounded from reddit for posting this trash question.

Is it just me or do NFL tight ends have the coolest names of all positions of all the big American sports? in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

I agree. I much prefer a tight end over a Will, Sam or Mike. Unless of course, they had a tight end.

Calvin Ridley back in March of this year: On my daughter's name, if I'm healthy? With Trevor Lawrence? I'm giving Jacksonville 1,400 yards a season, period." in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Thats not a bet.

CJ Stroud is 2nd in pass DVOA and 1st in DYAR. An MVP candidate as a rookie in c/nfl@nfl.community
At the halfway point of the season, which team is better than their record and which team is worse than their record? in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

This backs up my opinion that PHI is the 2020 Steelers.

1
MVP race, lets examine Mahomes' competition? (alien.top)
 

Before we can address the question, we have to address the criteria that is unstated but very obviously true. The order of importance of how MVPs are selected goes by the following:

  1. Your team has to be winning/playoff bound. (100% of MVPs in the last decade)
  2. You have to be a QB. (100% of MVPs the last decade)
  3. You have to be an extremely efficient QB. (90% of QBs were top 5 in EPA or ANY/A the last 10 years)
  4. You have to have enough bulk stats to back up your efficiency stats. (60% of them have been top 5 in Yards)
  5. You have to have fan recognition (be a big name/good story).

The only exception to the efficiency rule is Cam Newton in 2015, a year he had 10 rushing TDs.

The current leaders in EPA are:

  1. Purdy
  2. Dak
  3. Mahomes
  4. Allen
  5. Tags

The current ANY/A leaders are:

  1. Purdy
  2. Tags
  3. Stroud
  4. Goff
  5. Dak

Top 5 in yards per game:

  1. Stroud
  2. ~~Cousins~~(injured) Tags
  3. Goff
  4. Howell
  5. Mahomes

(Dak is 6th, fyi)

Based off this, my initial thoughts are Purdy, Mahomes, Dak, Tags and Stroud.

Currently the top 5 for Vegas betting are:

  1. Mahomes
  2. Hurts
  3. Tags
  4. Jackson
  5. Burrow

This tells me that stupid bets are on Burrow, Hurts, Jackson and the smart money is on Mahomes or Tags. The real value? Purdy, Stroud and Dak at +2000-3000.

Of the 5 that seem most likely to compete for the award based on efficiency/bulk stats, here are their remaining schedules:

  • Mahomes: Eagles, Raiders x2, Packers, Bills, Pats, Bengals, Chargers
  • Stroud: Cards, Jags, Broncos, Jets, Titans x2, Browns, Colts
  • Tags: Raiders, Jets x2, WFT, Titans, Cowboys, Ravens, Bills
  • Dak: Panthers, WFT x2, Hawks, Bills, Lions
  • Purdy: Jags, Bucs, Eagles, Hawks, Cards, Ravens, WFT, Rams
Single-game ANY/As for QBs that saw significant snaps, Week 10 in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

A-rated NFC QBs looking down at the "vaunted AFC elite" QBs and going...."I said...... (whispers) biiiiittttcchhhhhh"

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