UglyDuckAI

joined 1 year ago
 
[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago (1 children)

Where is the pretentiousness?

[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

Its ESPNs version of EPA. You can search for EPA and get a pretty good idea of how it measures it, but it has more with did you do something successful on the play or not. For example a 20 yard pass on 4th and 21 is not successful, but a 3 yard pass on 3rd and 2 is.

[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

Dear Jalen Hurts,

If you turn the ball over one more time, you can tie for #1 in the NFL for most turnovers. You should do that right now.

Be #1, Hurts.

[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago (1 children)

Five best:

Dak Prescott (1.6%)

I know most of you know that last year was weird, but it feels so good when its typed out

[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago (3 children)

This idiot really just said "put brooklyn on the map". lmao

[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

Dak at 6 is 100% due to drops. He was dropping dimes.

[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

Tell your mother that you are grounded from reddit for posting this trash question.

[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

I agree. I much prefer a tight end over a Will, Sam or Mike. Unless of course, they had a tight end.

[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

Thats not a bet.

[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

This backs up my opinion that PHI is the 2020 Steelers.

 

Before we can address the question, we have to address the criteria that is unstated but very obviously true. The order of importance of how MVPs are selected goes by the following:

  1. Your team has to be winning/playoff bound. (100% of MVPs in the last decade)
  2. You have to be a QB. (100% of MVPs the last decade)
  3. You have to be an extremely efficient QB. (90% of QBs were top 5 in EPA or ANY/A the last 10 years)
  4. You have to have enough bulk stats to back up your efficiency stats. (60% of them have been top 5 in Yards)
  5. You have to have fan recognition (be a big name/good story).

The only exception to the efficiency rule is Cam Newton in 2015, a year he had 10 rushing TDs.


The current leaders in EPA are:

  1. Purdy
  2. Dak
  3. Mahomes
  4. Allen
  5. Tags

The current ANY/A leaders are:

  1. Purdy
  2. Tags
  3. Stroud
  4. Goff
  5. Dak

Top 5 in yards per game:

  1. Stroud
  2. ~~Cousins~~(injured) Tags
  3. Goff
  4. Howell
  5. Mahomes

(Dak is 6th, fyi)

Based off this, my initial thoughts are Purdy, Mahomes, Dak, Tags and Stroud.

Currently the top 5 for Vegas betting are:

  1. Mahomes
  2. Hurts
  3. Tags
  4. Jackson
  5. Burrow

This tells me that stupid bets are on Burrow, Hurts, Jackson and the smart money is on Mahomes or Tags. The real value? Purdy, Stroud and Dak at +2000-3000.

Of the 5 that seem most likely to compete for the award based on efficiency/bulk stats, here are their remaining schedules:

  • Mahomes: Eagles, Raiders x2, Packers, Bills, Pats, Bengals, Chargers
  • Stroud: Cards, Jags, Broncos, Jets, Titans x2, Browns, Colts
  • Tags: Raiders, Jets x2, WFT, Titans, Cowboys, Ravens, Bills
  • Dak: Panthers, WFT x2, Hawks, Bills, Lions
  • Purdy: Jags, Bucs, Eagles, Hawks, Cards, Ravens, WFT, Rams
[–] UglyDuckAI@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago (1 children)

A-rated NFC QBs looking down at the "vaunted AFC elite" QBs and going...."I said...... (whispers) biiiiittttcchhhhhh"

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