"First, my wife Brittany got them for me, so I'm not throwin' y'all down, but I have to wear 'em, ya know," Mahomes, 28, told the brothers of his former high-school sweetheart, 28.

"At the same time, I threw 'em on that first season [and] we had a pretty good season that season," he explained of how it all started back in 2017.

Personally I think he will struggle initially as he begins to unlearn his college pocket habits, but over time he will evolve and become a perennial top 10 QB.

I was hoping I could have a shot at it on Thursday afternoon

Over the last 2 seasons, it has seemed like Quarterback play around the NFL has been declining on average for the first time since I have been watching in the late 2000s. This isn't to say that there aren't any great QBs in the league, but I feel like just from the eye test, I can't remember watching so much incompetent QB play. The numbers on league average back it up as well as I've compared 2022 and 2023 (Thru Week 10) to the 4 years prior.

2018: 237.8 Yd 1.7 TD 0.8 Int 92.9 Pass Rtg 6.3 ANY/A

2019: 235.0 Yd 1.6 TD 0.8 Int 90.4 Pass Rtg 6.2 ANY/A

2020: 240.2 Yd 1.7 TD 0.8 Int 93.6 Pass Rtg 6.4 ANY/A

2021: 228.3 Yd 1.5 TD 0.8 Int 90.8 Pass Rtg 6.1 ANY/A

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2022: 218.5 Yd 1.4 TD 0.8 Int 89.1 Pass Rtg 5.9 ANY/A

2023: 221.0 Yd 1.4 TD 0.8 Int 88.8 Pass Rtg 5.8 ANY/A

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It's just fascinating to me because I feel like the rules have never made it easier to be a QB than now.

I'm interested to hear firstly do people agree with this? And secondly what are the biggest reasons for this decline?

Am I reading too much into a small sample size and it's an anomaly or is there more to it?

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Here’s a couple of mine:

Jaguars-Lions: I think a lot of people want this. Imagine if they both went to the Super Bowl for the first time together, with these current teams. Which big cat goes 1-0 and which big cat goes 0-1 in the SB?

Vikings-Bills: The last time these two teams faced off, it was a SHOW. Which team will go 0-5 in the SB?

Seahawks-Dolphins: Yes I’m a Hawks fan, but I always felt like Miami would be such a fun matchup. Two aquatic themed teams on opposite sides of the country, some insanely fast players and talented receiving corps on both teams, Jalen Ramsey facing off against his old rival team, I’d be happy seeing my Hawks in a SB regardless of who it is, but I feel like this one would be entertaining.

Lot of Bill hate lately so just curious if that would change anything for people

Welcome to week 10 of the official r/NFL Power Rankings! Remember how hyped up the yearly Colts-Patriots game used to be? The two franchises played another close one on Sunday, there just seems to be something off about Brady's footwork... The Vikings however, haven't missed a step since Cousins on their way to five straight wins. Campbell is preparing his team to win every game, several teams seem to be trying the opposite. How many more times will Reich send Pineiro out to kick past what his leg is physically capable of? Can Pittsburgh continue the standard of W's (and scraps in the box score)? After a rerun on Sunday, how will an extra week of rest affect Dallas and New York? Why would Jets make a change when Zach Wilson is playing pretty well? Discuss! 28/32 Reporting

1. | | Eagles | -- | | The Eagles had somewhat of a blank space with the bye. Yes, they beat Dallas the week prior, but they’re not out of the woods yet. Next up, a trip to Arrowhead where they’ll get to embrace their role as the anti-hero, and we’ll see if they succumb to the bye week rust or shake it off. Despite the Super Bowl loss, there’s not a ton of bad blood between these teams. Sure, it was a cruel summer replaying Hurts highlights and wondering what could have been, but overall, the invisible string between the Kelce brothers ties these two fanbases together. Don’t get it twisted, it’s no love story, as Eagles fans know all too well, and this is probably the 1 game this team has had circled on the calendar since last February. On Monday night, red and green will battle on the field, all 22 men fearless and mean. And after a week of what is sure to be forced, unending, obnoxious Swift-Philly-Kelce references, the only question… ready for it?
2. | | Chiefs | +1 | 7-2 | Is it possible for a team to win on the bye week anymore than the Chiefs just did? Every team that could help the Chiefs with another loss helped us. The Broncos and the Raiders both won but still have an incredible journey to try and sneak into the playoffs where they'll inevitably be bounced in the Wildcard round. In all reality at this point a few unexpected wins from both of those teams just hurts them in the long run, so it's hard to look at it as a bad thing. Overall another fantastic week for the Chiefs #1 agenda.
3. | | Ravens | -1 | 7-3 |
4. | | Lions | -- | 7-2 | Jared Goff has won yet another shootout against a highly touted AFC quarterback, this time surgically dissecting the Los Angeles Chargers as their vaunted pass rush flailed hopelessly against Penei Sewell and company. The Goffense looked absolutely lethal as the team averaged 6.5 yards on the ground and 10.1 yards through the air, and Goff himself was a perfect 8/8 for 120 yards and 1 TD in the 4th quarter, never letting LA take a lead. THEY RAN A 4TH AND FCKING 5 DRAW AND GOT IT. This offense is just unreal. Now, the defensive side (outside of the first quarter capped by the most impressive toe-drag pick I have ever seen by Kerby Joseph) was abysmal, as the Chargers’ pre-snap motion and no-huddle exposed communication issues throughout the Lions back-end while the line could not get any consistent pressure. Luckily for Aaron Glenn, the Chicago Bears are coming to the D next week, providing his defense with the perfect get right opportunity.
5. | | 49ers | +4 | 6-3 | The 49ers came strong out of the bye week and righted the ship against the surging Jaguars, ending their losing streak at 3 games. The team executed on both sides of the ball, looking more like the team who started the season 5-0 than the struggling team the last month. The team looks forward to 4 game stretch against 2022 playoff teams, with vs TB, at Sea, at Phi and vs. Sea coming up. This stretch should tell us more about whether the 3 game losing streak was just a slump or a signal of larger issues with a team that thinks of itself as a Super Bowl contender.
6. | | Cowboys | +2 | 6-3 | There reaches a point in a game like that where you just feel bad. Even on paper, it was like a September football game, with the Giants playing the role of Mercer. At halftime, Dallas had more points than the Giants had yards. But, a win is a win and they all count the same. You know, except for tiebreakers and stuff. Anyway, game 1 of a 12-13 game win streak is in the books.
7. | | Dolphins | -2 | 6-3 | The BYE week was fun! We finally get back from IR the most explosive RB in the league in De'Von Achane. Next week we play a surprisingly frisky Raiders team that's coming off a SNF win over the Jets. Thankfully the Raiders are 5-5 and not 6-4 or else we wouldn't have a chance at beating them according to the pundits. On that note, we've now moved from 0-3 to 0-2 vs above .500 teams :)
8. | | Browns | +4 | 6-3 | First quarter, right off the bat, things looked rough. But they turned it around.
9. | | Jaguars | -3 | |
10. | | Bengals | -3 | 5-4 | The Bengals are back at the bottom of their division after a critical dropped TD by Tyler Boyd cost them a chance to go up by 4 points in the final minutes of the game. With the score tied, CJ Stroud marched down the field as he had done all game, and easily got his team in position for the game-winning FG. If the Bengals want any chance at a division title they have to win in Baltimore on Thursday. If they can't get that done then it looks like their only path to the playoffs will be from a wild-card spot.
11. | | Seahawks | -- | 6-3 | We're back, baby. After putting up 3 points last week, the Seahawks bounced back against Washington's defense, putting up 29 points. However, the offense once again struggled to find the endzone; Jason Myers gets the game ball going 5/5 on field goals. The running game has been off for some time now and the passing attack can still improve. With Abe Lucas returning to practice, hopefully we can get back on track. Defensively, a lot of guys made a lot of plays. Witherspoon forced a fumble, ripping the ball away from Sam Howell aas Tariq Woolen scooped it up. speaking of Woolen, he had probably his best coverage game of the season this week. And last but not least... Boye Mafe has a sack in seven consecutive games, a Seahawks franchise record and making him one of only 3 players to have such a streak in their first 2 years (Jevon Kearse and Aldon Smith being the other 2). The Seahawks get the Rams in LA this Sunday before running into gauntlet of NFC juggernauts in the coming weeks
12. | | Texans | +4 | 5-4 | "You had my curiosity. But now you have my attention." After all the glowing press this about CJ Stroud and the possibility of contending for the playoffs, the Texans still had to show that they could at least hang with the top teams to be taken seriously. They did that and then some. Stroud channelled his inner TJ Yates and tormented the Bengals for another 356 yds and a last-minute drive for the win, but loses style points on an ugly interception that allowed the Bengals back into the game late in the 4th. The running game finally woke up here in week 10 as Devin Singletary went for 150 and a TD, and Sheldon Rankins' 3 sacks and forced fumble led a Texans defense that gave Joe Burrow fits for much of the day. At 5-4, the Texans are now firmly in the playoff race one year removed from a disastrous 3-13-1 season. The schedule moving forward is extremely favorable, but they can’t have any more letdowns like their loss to the Panthers.
13. | | Bills | -3 | 5-5 | It was a rough start to the game, so I polished off half of a Wegmans “Let’s Go Buffalo” cookie cake —as one does. Then did the same amount of damage to a case of Blue Light —you know, as one does. I left the game paused before I passed out (please no one spoil the end for me), and I’m gonna try and finish when I get home from work. I’m sure they’ve gotten all their mistakes out of the way, it’ll probably be smooth sailing through the second half, right?
14. | | Steelers | -1 | 6-3 | As has been said a few times in these blurbs, many times in the media, and countless times during Sunday's game, the Steelers are statistically at the bottom of a lot of categories, yet still find a way to win due to their defense. It was no different against the Packers as they continued to rely on the unreliable, which is getting turnovers in the red zone. Is that an identity or a strategy to build upon? Only time will tell, but this team is starting to coalesce into a running team that can force mistakes on defense. An interesting fact setting up for the playoff run is that the Steelers are the only AFC team with no losses in their own division. And as an aside, only the Chiefs have a better conference win percentage. This is why Sunday's game at Cleveland is even more important: a win for the Browns and they guarantee at least .500 record in the division, but with a loss, they not only fall behind a game, but are severely disadvantaged in tiebreaking scenarios. The Browns could not do better than 3 wins in the division if they lose on Sunday as they only have the Bengals left for their 6th AFC North game. With a win, the Steelers cannot do worse than 3 wins in the North and would hold the overall wins tiebreaker against the Browns. Expect both teams to know this and expect things to be intense.
15. | | Vikings | +2 | 6-4 | Down QB1, QB2, QB3, WR3 and also that Justin Jefferson guy, Josh Dobbs went out and put up the second-best QBR in the NFL this week against a very tough Saints' defense. Meanwhile, Brian "Fuck it, we ball!" Flores has schemed the Vikings into the 9th-best defense by EPA/play allowed with Danielle Hunter and a box of scraps.
16. | | Chargers | -2 | 4-5 | Time is a flat circle. Thanks to Brandon Staley's terrible, expensive defense another stellar offensive performance was wasted. The Chargers put up 38 points, including 5 TDs in a row, and still to lose. Anyone who was fooled by the defenses performance against Tyson Bagent and Zach Wilson got an abrupt reminder that this defense is, in fact, terrible. The Chargers are 0-2 this season when scoring 34+ points, the rest of the league is 34-2. After a down month, by his standards, it was great to see Herbert look like his old self because in about 2 months because in a few months a lot of the rest of the team around him will be blown up.
17. | | Saints | -2 | |
18. | | Buccaneers | +1 | 4-5 | Being a fan of a team from the NFC South this season is not an easy task. It's like telling your friends that you are dedicating your entire life to becoming a Hollywood movie star. Everyone tells you that the road ahead will be filled with pain, suffering and more than likely ultimate failure. But you are dedicated. You don't want to hear any negative thoughts. As long as there's even a 1% chance of success, you will keep trying, week after week. Most of the time, your Sundays are filled with despair. You are drunk and you are pondering the future. The future seems bleak. You have no idea why you are still hoping for something good. You have no idea why you expect change. It's insanity! Nothing changes and you expect better results? However, every once in a while there's a glimmer of hope. You'd get a role in the back of some movie. No one will see you, but you'd get paid, just enough to prolong your suffering that "maybe one day things will be better". Most of the time it's pain. Most of the time it's squandered potential. It's a childlike dream that turned into a nightmare. But one day. One day you get a call that might change your entire career. You are getting a role on a popular HBO show. It's a small role but you'd be seen. Your name will even be on the credits! You just know that this might be the shot you needed! Everything's coming up! And honestly? It's the hope that kills you. The Buccaneers game against the Titans was that call. A call that gives you hope that maybe this is the start of something special. The start of a run that might land you fame and an Oscar in the future. It probably won't lead to anything. But god dangit it's nice to get that call and hear "This Sunday is your lucky day. You got the role. You are the vigorous hand job guy.
19. | | Colts | +1 | 5-5 | Die Colts haben das Spiel in Frankfurt gewonnen! 🇩🇪 Hey, a win is a win, right? The Colts head into their bye week at .500 after back-to-back ugly wins over two of the worst teams in the league. Their next two games are against teams that currently have losing records (TB, at TEN), so there's an opportunity to continue the winning streak and make a playoff push. (Fun fact: After last night's game, the Colts are now ahead of the Bills in the playoff standings.) Whether Indy remains competitive or not, one thing's for sure: Coach Steichen can get these boys 🔥 FIRED UP! 🔥
20. | | Raiders | +7 | 5-5 | As expected this weeks game against the Jets was a slog, with both defenses stifling the opposing offenses. We were able to come out with a close win thanks to great defense from Tyler Conklin. That won't happen against the Jets. A loss without McDaniels at coach feels better than anything ever did with him though.
21. | | Broncos | +5 | 4-5 | Pull up a chair and let me try to explain the identity of my football team. The Denver Broncos are a lost kid at the mall who pooped their pants and won a Maserati from a raffle they did not enter. They cannot drive. They cannot find their parents. They cannot. Be. Normal. Last season's cavalcade of unrelenting filth has borne to us a new kind of strangeness. One less vomitous, yes, but no less grotesque. It retains the degenerative chill, the unfeeling scientific disaster of apoptosis, but with each cell death it spurts forth a violent, sulfuric cheer. YES! The body hollers in decay. GO BRONCOS! Its limbs work themselves apart as would toilet paper in muddy water. And yet, the body doesn't die. The partially dissolved limbs, thought lost, glom back onto the frame, eager to form new, unacceptable appendages. It continues to cheer, decaying and reforming at an unnervingly slow, but quickening pace. This kaleidescope of flesh rumbles forth, mis-shaping itself forward. Onward! Go, you sticky, wet mess! Go, Broncos Country! We cannot die...no, we can be anything...
22. | | Jets | -4 | 4-5 | Eight offensive touchdowns in ten games. Fire Joe Douglas.
23. | | Commanders | -- | 4-6 | Nothing about this season is shaping up to be described as "ideal", but this past Sunday's fall to the Seahawks might have been "ideal". Or is that just the copium talking? Look, the season is over; this team isn't going anywhere. So it's all about getting reps and film on the guys who will be here next year with the new coaching staff. The best outcome is to be competitive and play a good game, but keep your draft prospects decent. This loss achieved that. Individual performances were, and have been, inconsistent from almost everybody, but Sam Howell has quickly become the most consistent performer (behind P Tress Way, of course). The kid can throw the ball and at this point has proven the game isn't too big for him, nor too fast. He's still making some rookie mistakes, but the adjustments in offensive gameplan seem to be helping as Howell is finding himself on the turf much less. This Sunday's game was another fine entry into his young resume. Other than Howell though, much of the team's key players have been lackluster, particularly on defense. The secondary continues to blow coverages and give up massive plays. The linebacker corps continues to be easy to block and ineffective in coverage. The receiving group, considered one of the team's strengths, has had a rough couple of weeks with difficulty getting open and Jahan Dotson dropping as many passes as he catches. Consistently inconsistent, a theme that has followed this franchise through Rivera's tenure and most of the last 3 decades. This team is likely to settle in at 6-11 this season and hopefully ride with its new franchise quarterback into stardom next year. Also, how was this worth an ejection? And how does a hit to the head deemed worthy of an ejection not result in a player immediately going into concussion protocol?
24. | | Falcons | -3 | 4-6 | In three years, here are Smith's wins against winning teams. What do you call a team that doesn't beat good teams, but also loses to bad teams? A ~~bad~~ worse team. AS must be reading the message boards because Bijan finally touched the ball 20+ times, but next game might turn into the Drake London experience just to keep him from quitting on the team. If you're reading this Arthur, do you think long developing routes are a fit for an offensive with protection issues and a quarterback who can't make reads post snap? Might as well pop a loss down for every game remaining, there's no clue what winning takes when you can't give an explanation. Falcons fans, please use the upcoming bye week as wisely as the organization will, by growing and subsequently shaving mustaches by the start of week 12.
25. | | Rams | -1 | 3-6 | After a bye week full of mock drafts and Puka OG Fortnite vic roy's, Stafford is set to return and the weekly disappointment will resume.
26. | | Titans | -4 | 3-6 | The Titans lost to the Buccaneers on Sunday in a game that truly exposed the offensive line as a subpar unit that can barely put together enough drives to keep up with any team. Rookie Will Levis had a rough day behind the line getting pressured on 21 of his 39 pass attempts. The receivers didn’t help Levis much either, dropping 5 passes throughout the game.
27. | | Packers | -2 | 3-6 | These are the losses I was expecting on having at the beginning of the season. Going against an above .500 team in a tough road game, showing some flashes of good things but not quite pulling out the W. The offense finally looked moderately competent in the first half! Love's statline doesn't look great but he had some fantastic throws that still gives you hope of constructive improvement for the second half of the season. I'd be feeling a lot better about the season if all of our losses looked like that. Onto next week!
28. | | Cardinals | +3 | 2-8 | Kyler Murray: Back. James Conner: Back. Arizona Cardinals: Back. Don’t call it a come: Back. Knick Knack Paddy: Wack.
29. | | Bears | -- | 3-7 | Thursday night was the Bears' most helpful win in 2 seasons, as they managed to find a way to tank and win a game at the same time. Bagent has showed he belongs in the NFL and can be a servicable backup for the next several seasons (what a bargain!). But my eyeballs are desperately hoping Fields returns this week. If he does, he'll return to a tough stretch of games - @ Lions, @ Vikings, vs Lions - but that's exactly the type of game he needs to play well in to change his future. The best case scenario for the franchise is still that he balls out over the second half of the season and makes their decision in the draft easy. The second best case is he absolutely bombs and the Bears clean house and draft twice in the top three. We'll see what happens!
30. | | Patriots | -2 | 2-8 | Sugar Maple trees are glorious in times of transition. In Autumn they display vibrant red leaves. In early Spring they produce a magnificent sap, commonly rendered into syrup. Few things are ever certain, but two ideas took a clear step forward this week with yet another nonsensical loss to yet another meager foe. Mac is out of time to show he’s the future. Bill is ready to step aside with grace. I expect years from now, the lazy talking point to be repeated ad infinitum: “Did Mac kill Bill, or did Bill kill Mac?” The much weirder and more complicated truth will always be that this whole thing was a lot closer to working out than most will care to admit. The game of inches was there so many times along the way, so often pivoting to the dark side. Perhaps the biggest “what if” on the list, is “What if Josh McDaniels had stayed in New England instead of taking the entire offensive staff to Las Vegas for an 18 month bender?” I find myself marveling at the strength of the hex delivered by the other 31. This whole clown show feels like an answer to two decades worth of prayer, and perhaps part of the penance for soaking up so much sun. It’s going to be weird to see Bill celebrating win #348 on the Bears sidelines, but in a way it will be a fitting tribute to Halas. Maple sugar held a sacred place in many indigenous cultures as the first food source to emerge after a difficult winter.
31. | | Giants | -1 | |
32. | | Panthers | -- | 1-8 | Panthers should just forfeit the rest of the season at this point. Another frustrating loss in Chicago on Thursday Night Football where the nation got to see how bad we really are. I will again start with the good as there is not much. Our defense looked solid AGAIN. We allowed one touchdown. One. Donte Jackson also had maybe his best game of the season. Special teams also had a couple stand out plays that included a punt to the 1 yard line and a punt return touchdown that was literally our only touchdown. (Loser talk is gassing up how good our two special teams played). That was basically all the good, now the bad. Our offense is the worst in the league. It is as simple as that. Still no identity, O-line is bad, Bryce is under performing and our WRs don’t seem like they try to get open. RBs are ok at best but Miles Sanders is still under performing relative to the contract he signed. We are in a bad spot. Scott Fitterer is basically sitting on lava at the moment and Frank Reich is sitting right next to him in a hot seat of his own. Reich’s press conferences still show he is optimistic (not sure how) but I suspect we are truly at the mercy of Davd Tpper who is the real problem. If T*pper would let the football guys do football things, we would be wayyy better off. I wish we could claw back to down bad but we are at rock bottom and we are setting up a tent to camp there for the time being. The Cowboys are coming to Charlotte in Week 11 and oh boy we might lose by 50+ points. Yikes once again. Keep Pound

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TNF on Prime Video

Bengals-Ravens: Al Michaels, Kirk Herbstreit, Kaylee Hartung

Also: WCPO-Cincinnati, WMAR-Baltimore

CBS

Jets-Bills: Jim Nantz, Tony Romo, Tracy Wolfson

Steelers-Browns: Ian Eagle, Charles Davis, Evan Washburn

Raiders-Dolphins: Kevin Harlan, Trent Green, Melanie Collins

Seahawks-Rams,: Andrew Catalon, Tiki Barber, Matt Ryan, AJ Ross

Titans-Jaguars: Spero Dedes, Adam Archuleta, Amanda Renner

Seahawks-Rams: Andrew Catalon, Tiki Barber, Matt Ryan, Tiffany Blackmon

FOX

Cowboys-Panthers: Kevin Burkhardt, Greg Olsen, Erin Andrews, Tom Rinaldi

Buccaneers-49ers: Joe Davis, Daryl Johnston, Pam Oliver

Bears-Lions: Adam Amin, Mark Schlereth, Kristina Pink

Giants-Commanders: Kenny Albert, Jonathan Vilma, Shannon Spake

Chargers-Packers: Kevin Kugler, Mark Sanchez, Laura Okmin

SNF on NBC

Vikings-Broncos: Mike Tirico, Cris Collinsworth, Melissa Stark

MNF on ABC

Eagles-Chiefs: Joe Buck, Troy Aikman, Lisa Salters

At the beginning of the season, the map is divided into 32 regions, each controlled by a team in the NFL. When a team defeats another team, if the defeated team controls any land, that land is taken by the winner.

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Week 10

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Territory Changes

The Bengals lost 2 territories to the Texans

The Chargers lost 8 territories to the Lions

The Jaguars lost 6 territories to the 49ers

The Ravens lost 14 territories to the Browns

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Album of all maps

GIF through Week 10

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Leaderboard

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49ers, Browns, Jaguars and Lions have held the most territory this season (33).

Bears, Panthers, Patriots, Titans, and Vikings are tied for least territory held (1).

To get these scores, I gave each team a point for each territory they held per week (so if a team held 4 territories for 5 weeks, they would get 20 points)

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Upcoming Battles

The 49ers are battling the Buccaneers

The Broncos are battling the Vikings

The Browns are battling the Steelers

The Lions are battling the Bears

The Texans are battling the Cardinals

At first I thought Stroud was in great company, then a little down the list I had to hold my nose.

1. Dak Prescott 104.9
2. Robert Griffin III 102.4
3. C.J. Stroud 101.0
4. Russell Wilson 100.4
5. Justin Herbert 98.3
6. Ben Roethlisberger 98.1
7. Dan Marino 96.0
8. Baker Mayfield 93.7
9. Mac Jones 92.5
10. Marcus Mariota 91.5
11. Gardner Minshew 91.2
12. Nick Mullens 90.8
13. Joe Burrow 89.8
14. Davis Mills 88.8
15. Greg Cook 88.3
16. Matt Ryan 87.7
17. Daniel Jones 87.7
18. Kyler Murray 87.4
19. Tua Tahovailoa 87.1
20. Teddy Bridgewater 85.2

Note: variable amount of games played. Mullens and Stroud only rookies with <10 games.

In recent memory, the Chiefs did it in 2015 ending the season 11-5 and the Colts did it in 2018 ending the season 10-6. Both going 1-1 in the playoffs.

Although the AFC is a tight race if the Broncos continue their win streak and lose 1 or maybe 2 games (depending on how the rest of the AFC plays out)

They very well have a great shot of making the playoffs.

Their remaining schedule is:

Vikings

Browns

Texans

Chargers

Lions

Patriots

Chargers

Raiders

It’s not the hardest schedule and they more than likely have enough room to drop 2 games (Lions being the best case loss)

Again it’s a long shot, but if they can continue their momentum (and not miss as much FG’s) we may witness this be the 2nd half of the season up and coming playoff sleeper

Source: https://stathead.com/tiny/g7eXQ

Do teams not use the same 11 players on field goal blocks for every play?

I can understand how you get 12 players on defense because someone was confused about what package you’re running, but if you’re the 12th guy on special teams shouldn’t you stop and think “Hey, I’m not usually out here for these plays, maybe I’m an extra?”

Last night, the Bills Mafia seemed to be extremely loud hoping to give the disadvantage to the Broncos. However, Russell Wilson seemed unfazed by it.

I love watching the NFL game where the fans get into it. To the point, I cannot hear the commentators or rather hear the crowd noise instead.

To your memory, what are some game that showcased the loudest fan bases in the NFL?

So we all know that the MVP is unfortunately just a QB award now, and no defensive player could ever win it before that either. Furthermore, the QB that wins isn't even always the best QB, it's just whomever the media likes the most around Week 13. It's chosen by some journalists who may, or may not, know or really care about football. I for one, think MVP has become a meaningless award and I have a rough idea on how it could be changed.

Every year, each team votes on a team MVP. It's voted on by the players and they chose who among their team should receive the MVP award. This award comes with nothing now, but I think it could be tied to the league MVP, like the Walter Payton award.

I think, after the season, every team votes on their own MVP, and then AP choses the league MVP from that pool. That way, we actually get players who heavily contributed to their teams and that their teammates believed were the best player in their respective teams that year. It will probably still lead to QBs winning the award, but at least they'll be better selected and it won't be a popularity contest like the NFL 100 because you can't vote for other teams.

What do you guys think? Is it a potential improvement, or is it all just fluff and no one cares anymore anyways?

ptdotme's NFL Elo Power Rankings After Week 10

(By popular demand, see the rankings without the influence of last year's season-ending ratings in my comment below, or here.)

This is OC. I’ve written code to calculate NFL team Elo ratings^1 on a week to week basis. The goal is to use simple Elo ratings to create power rankings without the influence of human bias and emotion. The ratings are based on each team's rating from the previous week, with a "parity reset" applied every offseason. The model has been tested for accuracy against game outcomes since week 1 of the 2012^2 season. The ratings are derived only from each game's score, venue, and date. There are a number of variables/weights in my secret sauce but otherwise they're fairly conservative, basic, Elo ratings.

This is all a work in progress and feedback is appreciated! See more stats and info on my 2023 NFL Elo Power Rankings page.

Note: You may feel teams are ranked too high or low based on recent games, and you may be right. However, the model has been tested and is more accurate when it doesn't overreact to individual games. The goal is model accuracy, not rankings that "look right." ^(2)  

The 49ers once again played like a #1 ranked team, soundly beating a strong Jaguars team. The Cowboys dominated the Giants, and climbed up to 2nd place. The Ravens/Browns game was close, so only 4 Elo rating points were exchanged following that game. The Bills/Broncos game was also a 2-point game, but the Bills lost 7 Elo rating points because that was a bigger upset loss.

The Bills "should" be ranked lower due to their poor play for many weeks now, but haven't had a blowout loss yet to really punish their Elo rating. They are on by far the longest Elo cold streak at 6 straight games, losing 39 points over that span. The next longest Elo cold streak is 3 games (Rams, Jets, Seahawks, Bears, Patriots, and Giants).

The Steelers are outliers at 19th with a 6-3 record, but they haven't beaten any strong teams by a wide enough margin to be ranked any higher. The Chargers are another outlier at 9th place with a 4-5 record. Three of their losses were close, costing them only 1 Elo point each, and they had defense and special teams scores in the Jets game that really boosted their Elo rating.

^(1)See Wikipedia. Elo ratings are numeric and assigned to each contestant. The ratings are used to estimate performance. After each game, the difference between a contestant's estimated and actual performance is used to update their rating. For the NFL, this can all be summarized as "Who did you beat/lose to and by how much? And who have they beaten/lost to and by how much? And who have they beaten/lost to ...

^(2)Moving backward through the years, each preceding season has a much smaller impact on the current ratings. Team ratings from 2010 have zero impact on today's ratings. Ratings from only a couple years ago, say 2021, have almost no effect on today's ratings. Seasons going back to 2010 are only used by the model to ensure its accuracy over thousands of NFL games.  

(excludes plays with less than 4 rushers, play action, screens, short dropbacks and time-to-throws under 2 seconds). Very impressive what Brock Purdy has done to elevate his team